Shakhter Karagandy vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 3
SHA
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SHA
2 - 1
VOS
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SHA
3 - 1
KYZ
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
FCA
3 - 0
SHA
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
DVS
1 - 0
SHA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
TOB
1 - 0
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ATY
0 - 5
TOB
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
TOB
2 - 1
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ORD
1 - 2
TOB
29%
30%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
AUS
2 - 0
TOB
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |