Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 4-5
Shakhter Karagandy vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
TOB
2 - 0
SHA
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
SHA
3 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
SHA
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 0
KAI
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
SHA
4 - 0
SHI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
RIJ
4 - 2
HKS
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
HKS
1 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
HKS
1 - 1
IST
63%
22%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 2
HKS
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
FCR
1 - 1
HKS
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |