UCL Qualifying Play Offs Final
Global 2-3
Shakhter Karagandy vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AST
1 - 2
SHA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
KFS
3 - 2
SHA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SHA
4 - 0
AKZ
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
SHA
3 - 0
KFS
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
VOS
0 - 0
SHA
21%
29%
50%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 2
CEL
20%
25%
56%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 1
CEL
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
ELF
0 - 0
CEL
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
ROS
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 0
ELF
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |