Shahtyor vs Aruan Nartkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shahtyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2002 |
AVV
2 - 1
SHA
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
SHA
0 - 0
SLS
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
NEK
1 - 1
SHA
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
SHA
1 - 2
ANG
19%
25%
56%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
DMA
2 - 0
SHA
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2002 |
ARN
0 - 2
TER
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
ARN
0 - 0
KRD
28%
26%
47%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
DYS
1 - 0
ARN
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
ARN
2 - 1
DMK
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
DIN
2 - 0
ARN
49%
26%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |