Shahr Raz vs Mes Kerman analysis


46	ELO	63
-18.9%	Tilt	-13.8%
5915º	General ELO ranking	2502º
44º	Country ELO ranking	21º
ELO win probability

31.2%

Shahr Raz

31.2%

Draw

37.6%

Mes Kerman

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

31.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%

31.2%

Draw

0-0

14.2%

1-1

13.5%

2-2

3.2%

3-3

0.3%

4-4

<0%

0

31.2%

37.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+2%

-15%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shahr Raz

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Apr. 2025	SAI 1 - 0 SHA 58% 26% 16%	45	66	21	0
11 Apr. 2025	SHA 0 - 1 FCA 28% 28% 44%	45	60	15	0
04 Apr. 2025	SHA 0 - 0 NAF 30% 29% 42%	45	59	14	0
17 Mar. 2025	MSB 1 - 0 SHA 57% 25% 18%	45	62	17	0
11 Mar. 2025	SHA 0 - 0 NIR 35% 28% 37%	44	53	9	+1

Matches

Mes Kerman

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
16 Apr. 2025	SMK 0 - 1 PAR 51% 28% 21%	64	58	6
11 Apr. 2025	NAF 0 - 0 SMK 31% 33% 36%	64	59	5
05 Apr. 2025	SMK 0 - 0 SNF 54% 26% 20%	64	47	17
17 Mar. 2025	NAF 0 - 0 SMK 41% 30% 29%	64	60	4
11 Mar. 2025	SMK 1 - 2 FAJ 31% 31% 39%	64	70	6