Unterrath vs Kapellen-Erft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
65.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SVW
1 - 1
SGU
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SGU
1 - 1
FCR
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SCV
0 - 0
SGU
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SGU
0 - 0
VSA
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HSG
0 - 3
SGU
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MSV
0 - 2
KAP
14%
17%
69%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
KAP
5 - 1
SVW
79%
12%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 2
KAP
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
KAP
3 - 0
SCV
79%
12%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VSA
1 - 1
KAP
26%
21%
54%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |