SG Rot-Weiss Thalheim vs Fortuna Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Rot-Weiss Thalheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
SGR
5 - 0
GWI
55%
20%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SVB
0 - 2
SGR
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SGR
1 - 2
SSV
25%
21%
55%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HSC
1 - 0
SGR
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SGR
0 - 2
BAR
12%
16%
71%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
1 - 1
SVB
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SSV
2 - 1
FMA
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 0
HSC
40%
22%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
1 - 2
BAR
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
1 - 0
SSC
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |