Mülheim-Kärlich vs Morlautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
59.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-99%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
8º
12º
12º
44
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
44 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 10 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 9 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 8 |
10º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 7 |
11º
|
83% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mülheim-Kärlich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUD
2 - 0
SGM
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SGM
0 - 4
HWI
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SGM
2 - 4
ARL
10%
14%
75%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 1
SGM
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SGM
0 - 1
ELV
54%
20%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Morlautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
AWA
41%
22%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
EIS
3 - 4
MOR
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PFE
2 - 0
MOR
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
SCK
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
0 - 0
MOR
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |