Mülheim-Kärlich vs Ahrweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mülheim-Kärlich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TUS
3 - 4
SGM
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SGM
8 - 1
AND
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HWW
2 - 4
SGM
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SGM
2 - 3
SGS
39%
22%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
EIS
2 - 4
SGM
81%
12%
8%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ahrweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ABC
2 - 2
FTT
74%
14%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WIR
1 - 4
ABC
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABC
6 - 1
SAL
43%
21%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VFW
1 - 2
ABC
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SVW
1 - 3
ABC
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |