Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs Paderborn 07 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
69.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
15º
9º
64
3º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ENN
3 - 0
SFB
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SFB
3 - 0
SPO
20%
19%
62%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ERH
5 - 3
SFB
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SFB
1 - 2
WER
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GIE
4 - 1
SFB
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRE
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 2
PAD
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASC
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
PAD
15%
19%
67%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
SVR
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |