Dynamo Schwerin vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
13º
16º
14º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
4 - 3
DSC
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DSC
0 - 1
MAH
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 1
DSC
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 4
HZE
14%
20%
67%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 4
HAN
12%
15%
73%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
SVS
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 2
LFC
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 4
ALT
7%
12%
81%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
TAS
36%
22%
43%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 1
RFC
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |