Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
F95
1 - 1
SGD
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SGD
0 - 1
OSN
47%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
RWA
3 - 0
SGD
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SGD
1 - 0
BOR
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
HOL
1 - 0
SGD
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ERF
1 - 1
F95
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
OSN
4 - 0
ERF
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ERF
1 - 1
RWA
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
BOR
0 - 1
ERF
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
HOL
0 - 2
ERF
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |