Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
COT
0 - 0
SGD
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
SGD
1 - 3
ERZ
71%
20%
9%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
STA
2 - 4
SGD
28%
27%
46%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
LEV
2 - 2
SGD
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
SGD
0 - 1
BYM
21%
24%
54%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
ERF
0 - 1
WAC
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
COT
0 - 0
ERF
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
ERF
1 - 0
HZE
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1995 |
COT
4 - 1
ERF
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
ERF
5 - 1
BFC
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |