Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1979 |
ROS
1 - 2
SGD
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
SGD
6 - 0
BSG
83%
12%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
LOK
1 - 1
SGD
36%
26%
39%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
SGD
4 - 0
ZWI
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
FCU
0 - 0
SGD
16%
24%
60%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 4
MAG
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
BFC
5 - 3
ERF
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
CZJ
1 - 1
ERF
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
ROS
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
BSG
1 - 0
ERF
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |