Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SVD
3 - 1
SGD
47%
22%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
SGD
3 - 0
ZWI
57%
22%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BWA
1 - 2
SGD
54%
20%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SGD
1 - 3
BFM
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
LOK
2 - 3
SGD
32%
22%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ERF
2 - 1
BFM
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
LOK
0 - 0
ERF
26%
22%
52%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1954 |
ERF
3 - 5
BSS
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
ERF
1 - 0
HAL
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LAS
0 - 3
ERF
41%
24%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |