Dynamo Dresden vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
SCF
3 - 3
SGD
76%
15%
8%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SLP
4 - 2
SGD
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RIE
1 - 3
SGD
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
FCT
0 - 7
SGD
5%
13%
82%
|
84 | 27 | 57 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SGD
3 - 0
UNT
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
M05
5 - 0
SEE
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
SAA
1 - 4
M05
13%
19%
68%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
BAY
0 - 4
M05
7%
16%
77%
|
94 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
M05
2 - 2
LEV
13%
20%
67%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BOC
1 - 4
M05
21%
23%
56%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |