Dynamo Dresden vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ERF
3 - 2
SGD
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
AUG
1 - 0
SGD
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
SGD
2 - 1
WUR
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
STU
1 - 1
SGD
19%
24%
58%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SGS
0 - 0
SGD
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 0
WEH
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAG
3 - 1
MAI
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 0
HOL
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 1
COT
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ROS
1 - 0
MAI
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |