UCL 1/16
Global 2-2
Dynamo Dresden vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.3%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.5%
5-0
8%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.1%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.9%
2.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
ZWI
3 - 2
SGD
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
SGD
3 - 1
FCU
86%
10%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
PAR
2 - 0
SGD
20%
22%
59%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BWA
2 - 2
SGD
17%
24%
59%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
SGD
5 - 0
HAL
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
PAR
2 - 0
SGD
20%
22%
59%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
PAR
0 - 2
DYN
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
DYN
3 - 0
PAR
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1974 |
KOL
5 - 1
PAR
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
KOL
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |