Dynamo Dresden vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
LOK
3 - 1
SGD
31%
25%
44%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
SGD
6 - 2
ROS
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
FTC
1 - 0
SGD
34%
23%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
ERF
0 - 0
SGD
26%
24%
50%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
SGD
3 - 2
FCU
84%
11%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
FTC
1 - 0
SGD
34%
23%
43%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
JEU
2 - 6
FTC
7%
20%
73%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
FTC
5 - 1
JEU
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1975 |
DYN
3 - 0
FTC
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
CRV
2 - 2
FTC
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |