Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis

Dynamo Dresden Erzgebirge Aue
68 ELO 61
-4.1% Tilt -3%
370º General ELO ranking 1260º
33º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
49.9%
Dynamo Dresden
25%
Draw
25.1%
Erzgebirge Aue

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.1%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dynamo Dresden
+5%
-6%
Erzgebirge Aue

Points and table prediction

Dynamo Dresden
Their league position
Erzgebirge Aue
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
15º
45
20º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Elversberg
74
74
100%
Freiburg II
73
73
100%
VfL Osnabrück
70
70
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
69
69
100%
Dynamo Dresden
69
69
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
60
60
100%
1860 München
57
57
100%
Viktoria Köln
55
55
100%
Verl
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Ingolstadt 04
11º
47
47
11º
100%
MSV Duisburg
12º
46
46
12º
100%
B. Dortmund II
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Hallescher FC
16º
41
41
16º
100%
SV Meppen
17º
37
37
17º
100%
VfB Oldenburg
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Zwickau
19º
35
35
19º
0%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dynamo Dresden
Erzgebirge Aue
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Dynamo Dresden
Erzgebirge Aue
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
ELV
SV Elversberg
1 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
60%
22%
18%
67 72 5 0
18 Feb. 2023
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
1 - 1
Viktoria Köln
VIK
48%
25%
28%
67 62 5 0
11 Feb. 2023
VER
Verl
2 - 3
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
37%
27%
36%
67 62 5 0
04 Feb. 2023
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
7 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
55%
24%
21%
66 58 8 +1
30 Jan. 2023
MUN
1860 München
1 - 2
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
54%
24%
22%
65 69 4 +1

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
27%
25%
47%
61 66 5 0
17 Feb. 2023
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
60 68 8 +1
10 Feb. 2023
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Waldhof Mannheim
WAL
26%
26%
48%
59 66 7 +1
04 Feb. 2023
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
3 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
54%
24%
22%
60 67 7 -1
28 Jan. 2023
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 0
Freiburg II
FRE
37%
27%
36%
59 63 4 +1