Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 2
SGD
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SGD
0 - 1
SGF
46%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 1
SGD
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SGD
4 - 1
DAR
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
SGD
0 - 1
HSV
21%
23%
55%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HOL
21%
25%
53%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 0
ERZ
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ERZ
0 - 2
SVS
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MSV
1 - 2
ERZ
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ERZ
3 - 1
STP
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |