Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
F95
1 - 3
SGD
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
SGD
1 - 2
KAI
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
ERF
1 - 2
SGD
13%
18%
69%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
HOL
3 - 0
SGD
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SGD
1 - 1
EBT
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BOC
30%
27%
42%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MSV
3 - 0
ERZ
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 1
ARB
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
STP
1 - 1
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 0
SSV
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |