Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SGD
4 - 0
WEH
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAG
2 - 2
SGD
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SGD
0 - 0
HOL
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COT
0 - 2
SGD
26%
27%
48%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SGD
2 - 2
ROS
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ERZ
2 - 0
CHE
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
WEH
1 - 0
ERZ
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 0
WER
51%
26%
22%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MAG
0 - 3
ERZ
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
ERZ
4 - 0
HAL
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |