Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 3
SGD
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SGD
1 - 0
COT
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SVS
0 - 0
SGD
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SGD
2 - 0
VFR
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SGF
4 - 0
SGD
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 6
SGF
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 0
ERZ
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 1
BOC
37%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FSV
3 - 1
ERZ
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
ERZ
3 - 0
KSC
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |