Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
F95
2 - 1
SGD
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SGD
5 - 1
KSC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BVB
2 - 0
SGD
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EBT
0 - 2
SGD
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SGD
1 - 1
AAA
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 2
EIN
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 0
ERZ
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 2
FCN
22%
26%
53%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 1
FCU
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SGF
2 - 0
ERZ
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |