Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
SGD
1 - 0
DRE
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
HOL
2 - 1
SGD
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SGD
0 - 0
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
SGD
2 - 1
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
SGD
1 - 1
ROT
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ERZ
2 - 0
BAB
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
WER
2 - 3
ERZ
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 2
PAD
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
KFC
2 - 0
ERZ
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ERZ
1 - 1
OSN
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |