Dynamo Dresden vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
STA
2 - 4
SGD
28%
27%
46%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
LEV
2 - 2
SGD
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
SGD
0 - 1
BYM
21%
24%
54%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
KSC
5 - 3
SGD
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
SGD
2 - 1
S04
32%
29%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1995 |
ERZ
2 - 2
COT
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
ERZ
0 - 0
TEN
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
STA
5 - 0
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
ERZ
0 - 3
BIS
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
OPT
0 - 0
ERZ
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |