Dynamo Dresden vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1986 |
FVF
2 - 1
SGD
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
SGD
2 - 1
ZWI
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
ERF
2 - 1
SGD
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
SGD
2 - 2
LOK
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
SGD
0 - 1
BSV
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1986 |
CZJ
0 - 0
LOK
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
ROS
0 - 0
CZJ
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
CZJ
1 - 2
MAG
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
CZJ
2 - 0
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
BWA
1 - 1
CZJ
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |