Dynamo Dresden vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
MAG
1 - 1
SGD
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
SGD
1 - 1
BFC
68%
18%
14%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
ERF
0 - 0
SGD
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
SGD
6 - 0
BOH
96%
3%
1%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
SGD
1 - 0
ROS
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
CZJ
3 - 0
ZWI
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
MAG
3 - 1
CZJ
62%
21%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
CZJ
0 - 1
FCU
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
MSV
3 - 0
CZJ
41%
26%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
BFC
1 - 0
CZJ
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |