Dynamo Dresden vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1978 |
BFC
2 - 2
SGD
40%
25%
36%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
SGD
7 - 1
BCB
89%
8%
4%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
MAG
2 - 0
SGD
45%
25%
31%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
SGD
2 - 1
WIS
89%
8%
3%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
CHE
0 - 4
SGD
22%
25%
53%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1978 |
FVF
0 - 2
CZJ
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BFC
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
BCB
1 - 4
CZJ
31%
23%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
CZJ
1 - 1
MAG
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
WIS
1 - 6
CZJ
22%
26%
53%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |