Dynamo Dresden vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
SLB
0 - 0
SGD
56%
21%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
ZWI
1 - 2
SGD
23%
24%
53%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SGD
7 - 1
FVF
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
SGD
2 - 0
SLB
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
CHE
2 - 2
SGD
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
CZJ
4 - 2
BWA
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
ZWI
3 - 1
CZJ
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
CZJ
4 - 2
BSG
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
FVF
0 - 0
CZJ
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
MAG
5 - 2
CZJ
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |