Dynamo Dresden vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1989 |
CHE
1 - 1
SGD
21%
25%
53%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
BIS
0 - 1
SGD
13%
19%
68%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
SGD
2 - 0
HAL
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
SGD
5 - 0
FCU
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
BWA
1 - 1
SGD
21%
26%
54%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1989 |
BIS
1 - 0
BWA
27%
29%
44%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
BWA
0 - 1
LOK
30%
30%
41%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
STA
0 - 0
BWA
24%
28%
48%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
BSV
1 - 4
BWA
50%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
BWA
1 - 1
SGD
21%
26%
54%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |