Dynamo Dresden vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
ZEN
1 - 2
SGD
16%
21%
63%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
ZWI
0 - 3
SGD
16%
24%
61%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
SGD
10 - 1
SVM
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
ERF
4 - 0
SGD
20%
24%
56%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
SGD
1 - 0
FVF
80%
13%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
BWA
1 - 0
COT
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
BWA
0 - 1
CZJ
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
ZWI
2 - 0
BWA
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
BWA
4 - 2
SVM
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
BWA
2 - 1
MAG
20%
24%
57%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |