UCL 1/16
Global 4-5
Dynamo Dresden vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
SGD
3 - 0
BWA
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1989 |
CHE
1 - 1
SGD
21%
25%
53%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
BIS
0 - 1
SGD
13%
19%
68%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
SGD
2 - 0
HAL
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
SGD
5 - 0
FCU
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
AEK
1 - 1
PAN
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
AEK
0 - 0
PAO
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
OLP
0 - 1
AEK
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
AEK
1 - 0
IRA
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
APS
2 - 1
AEK
29%
30%
41%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |