Comercial vs SCD Santa Comba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 1
COM
52%
22%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
CHA
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 3
COM
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COM
2 - 4
BRO
52%
22%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GUN
0 - 1
COM
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
SCD Santa Comba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SCO
2 - 0
RUB
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SLA
0 - 2
SCO
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 0
SOB
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RES
1 - 1
SCO
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
3 - 2
FER
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |