Comercial vs Folgueiro UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
72.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
COM
53%
23%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
43%
23%
34%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PON
3 - 1
COM
62%
18%
20%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
MUI
37%
23%
40%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
IBE
1 - 0
COM
86%
11%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Folgueiro UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAB
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
FOL
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 2
FOL
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FOL
5 - 1
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FOL
9%
16%
76%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |