Comercial B vs Rioaveso Machinango S.D. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
56.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+145%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PNG
3 - 0
COM
48%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 3
FRI
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 0
COM
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COM
1 - 4
CEL
25%
20%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAT
1 - 3
COM
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rioaveso Machinango S.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
CEL
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 0
CAZ
51%
23%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PNG
0 - 1
MAC
40%
22%
39%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
5 - 0
FRI
52%
21%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAC
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |