SG Aumund-Vegesack vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SFL
3 - 2
SGA
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
OSC
5 - 1
SGA
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 2
SCH
27%
21%
53%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
LEH
2 - 2
SGA
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BRE
5 - 2
SGA
92%
6%
3%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TKA
2 - 1
SCH
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 0
TKA
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 4
BTN
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
HAB
2 - 0
TKA
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
5 - 1
TKA
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |