SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Woltmershausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
61.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
3º
39
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 3
SGA
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 1
UNI
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LEH
1 - 2
SGA
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
GEE
4 - 2
SGA
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 2
SGA
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Woltmershausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 1
SCH
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BTN
2 - 2
WOL
16%
19%
66%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WOL
2 - 2
TKA
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
WOL
2 - 1
TSS
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 5
WOL
16%
18%
66%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |