SG Aumund-Vegesack vs FC Sparta Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
OBE
4 - 2
SGA
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
WUL
2 - 0
SGA
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SGA
0 - 3
BRE
12%
17%
70%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
HAB
3 - 1
SGA
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SGA
1 - 2
MEL
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sparta Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
FCB
0 - 4
BRI
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
BLU
4 - 4
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 1
WUL
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 1
FCB
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 0
OBE
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |