SG Aumund-Vegesack vs FC Sparta Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
WUL
1 - 2
SGA
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SGA
0 - 2
TUR
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SGA
1 - 3
BRI
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SGA
5 - 1
VAB
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
7 - 2
SGA
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sparta Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
FCB
5 - 1
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
BLU
3 - 4
FCB
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FCB
4 - 1
HAB
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
OSC
4 - 4
FCB
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
FCB
4 - 1
WER
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |