SG Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
9º
15º
9º
38
5º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
VAB
1 - 1
SGA
13%
16%
72%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
SGA
2 - 4
GEE
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
OBE
4 - 1
SGA
50%
20%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 3
EHB
64%
17%
19%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 0
SGA
86%
9%
5%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BTN
1 - 3
GEE
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SVH
4 - 3
BTN
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BTN
0 - 3
BRI
31%
23%
47%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
TRB
2 - 1
BTN
35%
21%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BTN
1 - 3
WOL
62%
19%
20%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |