SG Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
3º
41
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
SGA
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
SGA
0 - 3
BSV
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TSS
0 - 0
SGA
25%
21%
55%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SGA
0 - 1
BRI
34%
21%
45%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SGA
0 - 0
SVH
54%
20%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
3 - 0
BTN
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 3
UNI
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
BTN
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 2
LEH
51%
22%
28%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 1
TSS
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |