01 Hoechst vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
01 Hoechst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
EIH
1 - 1
SGH
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
SGH
1 - 1
FUL
41%
26%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
VRL
5 - 0
SGH
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
SGH
1 - 4
VFB
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
SCW
1 - 3
SGH
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
SVB
6 - 1
HEK
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
EIH
1 - 1
SVB
29%
26%
44%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
SVB
2 - 2
FUL
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
VRL
1 - 3
SVB
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
SVB
0 - 0
VFB
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |