01 Hoechst vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
01 Hoechst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
SGH
0 - 2
JUG
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
DAR
1 - 2
SGH
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
SGH
2 - 0
LOH
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
VFB
1 - 3
SGH
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
SGH
1 - 2
COT
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
FVB
0 - 1
SVB
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
ASB
4 - 1
FVB
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1998 |
FVB
3 - 2
JUG
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
DAR
0 - 0
FVB
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1998 |
FVB
1 - 2
LOH
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |