01 Hoechst vs Bad Hersfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
01 Hoechst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
SGH
1 - 1
SGH
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
SGH
5 - 2
VFU
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
BAU
3 - 3
SGH
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
SGH
1 - 2
EDE
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
VFB
0 - 6
SGH
21%
25%
53%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
BHE
0 - 4
LOH
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FRA
3 - 1
BHE
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
BHE
0 - 2
VIK
24%
23%
52%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
BHE
2 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
KKA
4 - 0
BHE
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |