SFS Borac vs Jagodina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
8º
4º
41
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SFS Borac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FKT
0 - 2
BOR
28%
23%
50%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BOR
0 - 1
BPO
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TIM
1 - 1
BOR
46%
27%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BOR
0 - 1
DUB
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 0
BOR
69%
18%
12%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
NPA
7%
16%
78%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 0
OBB
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
2 - 1
JAG
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
3 - 0
TIM
51%
26%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PTR
1 - 2
JAG
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |