Stern vs TSV Mariendorf 1897 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 4
TBD
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BSC
0 - 0
SFC
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HIL
6 - 0
SFC
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 0
BWB
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
SFC
77%
14%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Mariendorf 1897
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BWB
1 - 3
TSV
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 2
FSV
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 1
TSV
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 0
ALT
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 2
TSV
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |