Stern vs Empor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+192%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 3
FSV
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 2
SFC
15%
18%
68%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STE
0 - 2
SFC
15%
18%
68%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
FRO
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 5
SFC
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Empor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 3
REI
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
5 - 2
SDC
8%
13%
79%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | +7 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 4
SVE
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 3
SSC
43%
22%
36%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 4
ALT
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |