Stern vs Croatia Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
51.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 1
REI
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SSC
3 - 1
SFC
16%
18%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
6 - 2
SVE
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 3
FSV
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 2
SFC
15%
18%
68%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SDC
2 - 2
BSC
88%
8%
4%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 4
ALT
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SDC
4 - 0
FCW
79%
13%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SDC
5 - 3
STE
88%
9%
4%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
5 - 2
SDC
8%
13%
79%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -4 |